San Diego State looks for revenge against South Alabama

San Diego State at South Alabama
Start: October 1, 8:00 p.m. ET
Location: Ladd-Peebles Stadium, Mobile, Alabama
TV: ESPNEWS, Watch ESPN
Radio SDSU: Here Radio USA: Here
Line: SDSU -19.5, O/U – 51

San Diego State outlook:

The hype train has left and headed for Mobile! Rocky Long is the conductor, Donnel Pumphrey is the powerhouse, Christian Chapman and the offense are the engineers, and the defense is the excellent concierge service because they always put on a show.  The Aztecs should breeze through the rest of the schedule with few problems, so why does South Alabama pose as any sort of threat.  Simply put: Mobile is east of the Rockies and in deep-South style humidity.  If the Aztecs lose, it will be because the conditions have allowed for mental mistakes: in other words IF THE AZTECS LOSE FOCUS IN THIS GAME, THEY WILL SLIP.  They might escape with a win, but in no way will this team look like a top-20 team that they are.  Should the Aztecs somehow lose this game…well it will be the exact same scenario as last year, no respect because the team lost to a completely inferior opponent despite a stellar record.

In reality: South Alabama ranks 117th in rush defense, giving up 240.0 YPG.  If Pumphrey (and as an extension Rashaad Penny) doesn’t hit HEISMAN HYPE numbers against this diarrhetic front seven, kiss his campaign goodbye and expect the Aztecs to escape with a win, rather than dominate.

South Alabama outlook:

The Jaguars had to stop a 2-point conversion in overtime to seal a win versus FCS Nicholls State.  The previous week they gave up 223 yards to Elijah McGuire in a 5-point loss to Louisiana-Lafayette.  That win versus Mississippi State seemed so long ago, especially since Mississippi State showed themselves as a sub-par team who needed a strong second half to survive UMass.  So what do the Jags need to do to possibly beat the Aztecs?  Dallas Davis needs to have the game of his life, the weather needs to be unbearable and the defense needs to hold Pumphrey to under 100 yards rushing.  If not, this game could possibly be over by halftime and adjustments might start to prepare for Troy, rather than trying to beat SDSU.

The key is this: how much film did USA watch of the Cal-SDSU game.  The Aztecs secondary was bending too much for the Bear Raid offense, and if not for a key interception, the Bears could have won.  Should Davis be able to replicate those open passes to Gerald Everett and company, the Jaguars might be able to play the offensive game the defensive-first Aztecs don’t always like to play: high-octane scoring.

Prediction:

South Alabama holds Pumphrey to a bad quarter of football, but gets burned by Christian Chapman.  Pumphrey starts hitting his holes and this game is over by halftime: SDSU 49, USA 14.

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